Crooked Necks

Harness racing handicapping is a game that pays off when you notice the little things not found in the racing program or past performances. When everything stays the same, the favorite wins and only the race track and the connections of the horse make a profit. That is because if the race turns out the way it looks like it should turn out, then the crowd will win. You can’t make much profit handicapping harness races if you bet with the crowd.

On the other hand, favorites do win a lot of harness races and that means you have to find a way to spot a reason good enough to bet against the favorite. One such situation where you will find profitable bets is in claiming races when you have done your homework. By homework I mean, watching the horses and spotting problems that can be fixed.

When you watch a harness race you should be making notes about horses who had rough trips or got a dream trip. Notes should be kept detailing any problems or abnormalities as well. One example is a horse that is rough gaited in the turns, but flattens out in the stretch. While there can be several reasons for this, it means there is probably a problem that can be corrected by a good trainer.

That is when the change of barn becomes important. If you see that horse suffer with the same problem in several races and then get claimed, you can bet a trainer has been watching the horse and figures he or she can correct that problem. So if you see the horse you’ve noted get claimed by a successful trainer, then you should figure it will improve in its next race or two.

While that isn’t exactly a hot new angle, it is better than when you see the same trainer claim a horse that doesn’t have an apparent problem. It may be more difficult to move such a pacer or trotter up when there is nothing tangible to be fixed. On the other hand, with such a glaring problem, the trainer must have something up his or her sleeve to remedy the situation.

Therefore, when trying to make money handicapping harness races, pay particular attention to horses who have an obvious problem and watch for such a horse to be claimed. This is a very good sign that it will get the problem fixed and the crowd may still lay off the horse because of its past poor performances.

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